[Japan Derby / Data Capture]”2.2.1.0″ in the popular corner Flashback of “extraordinary horse” with 6 GI wins | SPREAD

at the Tokyo Racecourse this week.japanese derby(Turf 2400m) will be held. After the Satsuki Sho in a big battle, the derby is in the “1 strong” mood.Securing the throne of the absolute championsole oriensIs there a horse that can compete with the There is no end to the interest in the battle of the highest peak of the generation.

We will analyze the runners based on the keywords that emerged from data analysis over the past 10 years. here”plus dataassole orienspick up.

◆[Japan Derby 2023 forecast / data capture]Overthrow Soul Oriens with “3.1.0.1” “Master” with increased reliability leads to GI’s first victory

The sharpness of the Satsuki Prize is proof of a monster

The Satsuki Award where the bad cornering that was exposed at the Keisei Cup recurred. At that point, I thought it was the end, but it pierced through with legs that cannot be explained in words. Are there no more enemies between generations? Here is the data that backs it up.

・A Satsuki prize horse with a winning saddle over 1800m at Tokyo Shiba in autumn[2.2.1.0]

The rate in the betting ticket is an amazing 100%. In addition to Derby winners such as Duramente and Contrail, Efforia and Isla Bonita were also included. Satsuki Shouma, who has a fast clock and is a high-level middle-distance winning saddle in Tokyo Shiba in autumn, is an excellent match for the Japanese Derby.

Looking back at the Satsuki Sho again, from a hopeless position of 17th on the four corners, he won by 0.2 seconds behind the 2nd place finisher. In Nakayama Shiba’s GI, the only runners to win from 14th or lower in the 4 corners are Gran Alegria, Durandal, and Sole Oriens, who have won 6 GI wins. The value of these two horses is immeasurable, as they won the GI in a row on the long straight course. I think that it is a horse that transcends the dimension of development and riding ground.

◆[Japan Derby 2023 Prediction/Catch-up Diagnosis]Highest rating of “S” surpassing Sole Oriens “Possibility of reversal crown is sufficient”

▼ Other, data strategy
◆[Data capture]”3.1.0.1″ to overthrow Soul Oriens “Master” with increased reliability leads to GI’s first victory

◆[Data capture]Winning streak is also attractive to the ambush that has fallen in popularity The strongest combination “5.2.0.3” blows away the disadvantage

◆[Data capture]”100% top match rate” below the expected “10 popularity” It is no wonder if aggressive measures are taken

◆[WIN5 forecast]The main goal is to break through by one point with the aim of “revenge on the previous race” Tokyo 10R is also a candidate for the expected “double digits” popularity

Japan Derby (Tokyo Yushun) 2023 prediction column list

▼Catch-up diagnosis
◆[Catch-up diagnosis]The highest rating of “S” that surpasses Sole Oriens “Possibility of reversal crown is sufficient”

◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]“A” rating for horses with a close defeat in the previous race soars “Remove the frustration of the Satsuki Sho”

◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]A dry “B” in the corner of overthrowing Soul Oriens “The spirit and reaction are unsatisfactory”

◆[Catch-up diagnosis]High evaluation of “A” exceeding skill Ving “Results will follow by maintaining the state”

▼Anuma Predictions
◆[Dangerous popular horse]A graded horse aiming for a comeback is “erased” and “two uneasy factors” do not feel appealing

▼ Pedigree trend
◆[Pedigree trend]Amazing single win recovery value “1140” for a rising horse during a winning streak No problem with classic distance

◆[Pedigree trends]Interested in “double-digit” odds that are highly suitable for Tokyo Single return value “116” is also expected to rise as conditions improve

▼Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]Sole Oriens 3rd frame No. 5 is a “trial” for a famous horse.

◆[Front race Rote]Alarm bells for double crown in Sole Oriens Undefeated Satsuki Prize horse is “1 out of 3” with a winning rate of 33.3%

◆[Trends in leg quality]In recent years, “fastest climb” has become a trend, but be wary of big hole candidates with single-win recovery value of “314”

◆[Popularity trend]3rd place is wary of the good run of the hole candidate.

▼ Horse racing storyteller Motonari Tahara’s graded analysis TV “2023 Japan Derby-Data Analysis Edition”

Author profile

Motonari Tahara (horse racing commentator)
A “horse racing storyteller” who continues to spread the appeal of horse racing tips to the world. He has a mysterious fascination with predictions, and has written horse racing books in the fields of rotation and pedigree. Currently writing a column[Horse racing critic Motonari Tahara’s perspective on predictions that should be learned now]in UMAJIN’s “Horse Racing Salon”. “SPREAD” unravels the background that can be read from data analysis and conveys “the essence of horse racing behind the data”.